21 May 2009 Daily Report
Red Flag? Really?
URGENT – FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
1146 AM EDT THU MAY 21 2009CTZ002>004-MAZ002>019-026-RIZ001-002-220000-
/O.CON.KBOX.FW.W.0006.090521T1600Z-090522T0000Z/
HARTFORD CT-TOLLAND CT-WINDHAM CT-WESTERN FRANKLIN MA-
EASTERN FRANKLIN MA-NORTHERN WORCESTER MA-CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA-
WESTERN ESSEX MA-EASTERN ESSEX MA-WESTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-
WESTERN HAMPDEN MA-EASTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-EASTERN HAMPDEN MA-
SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-WESTERN NORFOLK MA-SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA-
SUFFOLK MA-EASTERN NORFOLK MA-NORTHERN BRISTOL MA-
WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX MA-
NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-
1146 AM EDT THU MAY 21 2009…RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING…A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING.
THE RED FLAG WARNING CONTINUES FOR MOST OF MASSACHUSETTS EXCEPT THE
BERKSHIRES…CAPE COD…THE ISLANDS…AND SOUTH COASTAL SECTIONS. THE
WARNING ALSO INCLUDES PROVIDENCE COUNTY OF RHODE ISLAND AND THE
CONNECTICUT COUNTIES OF HARTFORD…TOLLAND… AND WINDHAM.TEMPERATURES RISING TO BETWEEN 90 AND 94 DEGREES WITH WEST TO SOUTHWEST
WIND GUSTS OF 25 TO 30 MPH COMBINED WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITY DROPPING
TO AROUND 20 PERCENT…AND THE LAST FEW DAYS OF DRY WEATHER WILL
PROMOTE THE RAPID SPREAD OF ANY WILDFIRES THIS AFTERNOON.THE MOST PRONE REGION TO ELEVATED FIRE DANGER IS FROM THE BOSTON AREA
TO BEDFORD AND WORCESTER MASSACHUSETTS TO WILLIMANTIC CONNECTICUT TO
JUST NORTH OF PROVIDENCE RHODE ISLAND TO JUST NORTH OF BROCKTON AND
THE BLUE HILLS IN EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS. RAINFALL IN THIS REGION
HAS BEEN THAN 2 TENTHS OF AN INCH IN THE LAST FIVE DAYS. THIS IS
GENERALLY ONE THIRD OF NORMAL.A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EITHER OCCURRING NOW…OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF STRONG
WINDS…LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY…AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE
EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.
Honestly, I don’t think there is significant fire conditions at least in the upland rolling hills — green up is 80% complete or more so we should be moving more towards the drought driven models of the summertime then the wind driven models of the spring. Grasses are lush and green, so they’re not going to burn. Forest duff is well shaded by leaves and the ferns are out.
CTZ004-220830- WINDHAM CT- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ASHFORD...PLAINFIELD...PUTNAM... WILLIMANTIC 417 AM EDT THU MAY 21 2009 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... TODAY TONIGHT FRI CLOUD COVER CLEAR CLEAR MCLEAR PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 10 TEMP /24H TREND/ 86 (+4) 53 (+6) 86 RH % /24H TREND/ 19 (0) 80 (-20) 28 20FT WND AM /MPH/ SW 6 SW 6 20FT WND PM /MPH/ SW 13 G22 SW 10 G23 W 10 G19 PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 PRECIP DURATION PRECIP BEGIN PRECIP END MIXING HGT /FT-AGL/ 3320 70 7100 TRANSPORT WND /KTS/ SW 19 SW 10 W 14 VENT RATE /KT-FT/ 63080 700 99400 CWR 0 0 0 LAL NO TSTMS NO TSTMS NO TSTMS HAINES INDEX 5 5 4 REMARKS...NONE. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH IN THE AFTERNOON. .SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS AROUND 70. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH IN THE AFTERNOON. .TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.